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2024-12-14 04:21:09

Analysis: Lagarde's speech increased the market's bet to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. In December, the European Central Bank lowered its economic forecast and inflation forecast. At the press conference, European Central Bank President Lagarde paid attention to the downside risks of economic growth, especially mentioning that trade friction may put pressure on economic growth, and also mentioned that they discussed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. Therefore, the atmosphere of the whole meeting is biased towards doves. The market then increased its bet on a 50 basis point rate cut after January. Although the possibility of a sharp interest rate cut in January is stable at 30%, the possibility of a 50 basis point interest rate cut in March has increased from 30% before the meeting to 40%, and the possibility of a 50 basis point interest rate cut in April has increased from 0% to 5%.Insiders: Incorporating national debt and index funds into the scope of personal pension products is expected to increase the scale of deposit. On December 12, the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, the General Administration of Financial Supervision and other five departments officially issued the Notice on the Full Implementation of Personal Pension System, which stipulated that national debt should be included in the scope of personal pension products on the basis of existing financial products such as wealth management products, savings deposits, commercial pension insurance and Public Offering of Fund. E Fund believes that the index funds included in personal pension products are mainly broad-based and dividend products, which are also in line with the long-term stable value-added investment goal of pensions. Because the broad-based index reflects the overall performance of a certain type of market, covering a wide range of industries, with a large number of constituent stocks and scattered risks, the pension investment time is often as long as several decades. In a market with healthy and sustainable economic development prospects and long-term upward trends, the broad-based index can help pension investors share the fruits of economic growth and obtain long-term stable returns. It is reported that with the inclusion of national debt in the scope of personal pension products, it is widely expected that this move will further increase the scale of personal pension payment. (per warp net)Zhongyin Fashion: Zhongyin Group, the controlling shareholder, intends to transfer some shares of the company by agreement. Zhongyin Fashion announced that Zhongyin Group, the controlling shareholder of the company, intends to transfer 12,024,000 shares of the company's unrestricted shares to Wenwen Fund and Jinhe Investment by agreement transfer. The transferred shares each account for 5.01% of the company's total share capital, accounting for 5.07% of the company's total share capital after excluding the number of shares in the repurchase account. After this equity change, Zhongyin Group holds 94.284 million shares of the company, accounting for 39.29% of the company's total share capital, accounting for 39.79% of the company's total share capital after excluding the number of shares repurchased by the special account; Wenwen Fund and Jinhe Investment each hold 12.024 million shares of the company, each accounting for 5.01% of the company's total share capital, accounting for 5.07% of the company's total share capital after excluding the number of shares repurchased from the special account.


Jili Liaoyuan reported a suspected gas explosion in a residential area: 13 people were hospitalized, including 2 seriously injured. Liaoyuan City Emergency Management Bureau reported that at 18: 17 pm on December 12, the municipal fire rescue detachment received an alarm, and a suspected gas explosion occurred in a residential area in Liaoyuan City. At present, the open flame has been extinguished, and 13 people were hospitalized, including 2 seriously injured. The cause of the accident is under investigation.Government statement: British Prime Minister Stamer will attend the informal meeting of EU leaders in Brussels on February 3rd.The dollar index DXY fell more than 20 points in the short term and is now reported at 106.58. Non-US currencies collectively rose, with GBP/USD of GBP rising by more than 20 points, EUR/USD of EUR/USD of EUR/USD rising by about 20 points and USD/JPY of USD/JPY rising by about 50 points.


Market news: the agency said that the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the United States jumped to the highest level in two months, but it was still at a low level.Central Economic Work Conference: Give play to the traction role of economic system reform and promote the landmark reform measures to be effective. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. The meeting proposed to complete the deepening and upgrading of state-owned enterprise reform with high quality and introduce the private economy promotion law. Carry out special actions to standardize law enforcement involving enterprises. Formulate guidelines for the construction of a unified national market. Strengthen supervision and promote the healthy development of platform economy. Make overall plans to promote the reform of the fiscal and taxation system and increase local independent financial resources. Deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market, open up the blocking points of medium and long-term funds entering the market, and enhance the inclusiveness and adaptability of the capital market system. (Xinhua News Agency)The dollar index DXY fell more than 20 points in the short term and is now reported at 106.58. Non-US currencies collectively rose, with GBP/USD of GBP rising by more than 20 points, EUR/USD of EUR/USD of EUR/USD rising by about 20 points and USD/JPY of USD/JPY rising by about 50 points.

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